A new PPP poll shows Hillary Clinton within spitting distance of winning Texas over Donald Trump:
PPP’s new Texas poll finds a relatively tight race, at least on the curve of recent Presidential election results in the state. Donald Trump leads with 44% to 38% for Hillary Clinton, 6% for Gary Johnson, 2% for Jill Stein, and less than half a percent (0) for Evan McMullin. In a head to head contest Trump leads Clinton 50-44 in the state, which Mitt Romney won by 16 points in 2012.
Two years ago, I wrote an article Texas Is Rapidly Turning Blue And Republicans Are About To Panic that described just how screwed the Republican Party is if Texas ever becomes a proper battleground state. It’s just as true now as it was then, Texas is the foundation of ANY Republican presidential run. Without it, they simply cannot win.
Let’s put it this way:
If Texas had voted blue in 2012, Mitt Romney could have won the entire Northeast, from Pennsylvania and New Jersey all the way up to Maine, and still lost.
If Texas had voted blue in 2012, Mitt Romney could have won the entire Great Lakes region including Minnesota and Iowa and still lost.
If Texas had voted blue in 2012, Mitt Romney could have won the entire West Coast including California and still lost.
Once you understand what Texas means to the GOP, it’s easy to see why this poll is sending conservative politicos into spasms of terror. Texas. Is. Everything. At least, as far as winning the White House goes.
Sadly, the reality is that Hillary has very little chance of actually winning Texas. Even with the polling so close, the amount of resources and effort required to seal the deal is not worth it. For now. It’s conceivable that if Hillary continues to dominate Trump and solidifies her leads in all of the swing states, she might take a swing at Texas if for no other reason than to rub it in Trump’s face that she can afford to swing for the fences.
On the other hand, the fact that Hillary is polling this well in Texas at all is proof that Texas is, in fact, moving towards official battleground status. The dwindling white vote combined with the exploding minority vote spells the end of an easy Republican victory in their single most important state. Even if (when) Hillary loses there, the closeness of the race will motivate Republicans to
reach out to minorities and expand their base crack down on voting rights even more ruthlessly next year. Watch for it.
Featured image via 270towin.vom