Right after the 2012 election, in which President Obama wiped the floor with the smug, arrogant Mitt Romney, Republicans virtually shut down their party to embark on a deep soul searching mission: they needed to win over a more diverse electorate if they wanted to take the White House in 2016.
By the very end of 2015, the Republicans have not only failed to reach even more Americans, they’ve actually lost the support of more Americans, including white voters.
After the GOP made their soul-searching mission public, Reuters Polling tracked members of each age, race, and ethnic group in America between November 2012 and November 2015. In total, there were 185,949 respondents (with margin of error at 0.3 percent). Here’s what they found:
- In 2012, Democrats made up 44.7 percent of party-affiliated likely voters, compared to 39.1 percent Republicans. Today, Democrats make up 45.9 percent to Republicans 36.9 percent. Today, more Americans are identifying as Democrats than Republicans, and it continues to rise.
- In 2012, Hispanic (whose support Republicans desperately need in order to win the White House) support for the GOP was 30.6 percent. In 2015, it was 26 percent, a loss of 5 points. Hispanic Democrats grew by 6 percentage points in that same time period, making the total 59.6 percent.
- In 2012, white voters under the age of 40 supported the Republican Party over the Democratic Party by 5 percent. Today, in 2015, Democrats overtook that demographic by 8 percent.
- Black Americans are still the same as they were in 2012: they support the Democrats at a rate of 80 percent.
Democrats also gained in support among white Christians, white men (in general), white women (in general), Christians (in general) and non-white Christians. The only demographics Democrats lost support amongst were Jews and whites over the age of 40.
Hey, Republicans, how did that outreach go? Since 2012, Republicans have lost support in almost every demographic in America. I guess being the party of shutdowns and Donald Trump isn’t the way to go after all. If the Democratic nominee received support from everyone in the base and a third of Independent voters, the White House will be blue for another four, possibly eight years. That’s why voter turnout is key to Democrats winning elections: we have the numbers on our side, but do we have the push to get out the vote?
With numbers like these, Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton could (and most likely would) be our next president.
Featured image a screen caption via YouTube