Everyone knows Democrats do well with the female vote – they tend to like the party that fights for their right to be paid equally, to have access to life-saving healthcare, and protects their right to be treated like decent human beings. Every election since 1976 (save 1984), Democrats have won the female vote.
The 2016 election will be no different. In fact, it may be even better for Democrats. If Donald Trump, the current GOP frontrunner, continues on his trajectory and becomes the party’s nominee, he may very well lose half of the female GOP vote. So not only does he lose pretty much every female Democrat, he loses half of the only support the Republicans have from women.
According to HuffPollster, a subset of the Huffington Post, 47 percent of Republican female voters cannot see themselves voting for Trump in a general election. Only 52 percent of the Republican Party’s female base could fathom doing such a thing. Ted Cruz comes in second, with nearly a third saying they wouldn’t vote for the Senator from Texas. Kasich comes in fourth (after dropout Marco Rubio) with 27 percent.
Trump’s favorability with women overall is a dismal 21 percent positive/ 70 (!) percent negative. With men, it’s 28 percent positive/ 59 percent negative. And while women traditionally vote for Democratic candidates in larger numbers than men, data shows that a Trump nomination would exacerbate the issue for Republicans.
CNN’s poll shows that 42 percent of Republican women have an unfavorable view of Trump, although that doesn’t tell whether how many wouldn’t vote for him should he be the nominee. Nearly seven in 10 female voters feel in general have an unfavorable attitude towards Trump.
According to th Washington Post, GOP strategist Katie Parker issued a stark warning for the Republican Party:
Should we nominate Donald Trump, they [Independent and Republican women] will flock to her [Clinton] because they see him [Trump] as someone who’s repulsive. And it’s not just about so-called ‘women’s issues,’ it’s about how he values women and about how he’s willing to make women feel to benefit himself.
If Trump loses Republican, Independent and Democratic women by large margins, Clinton or Sanders would win every single state in November, according to a tongue-in-cheek (but still accurate) prediction by Nate Silver.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 24, 2016
All those years of attacking women’s rights will come back to bite the GOP (again), and Trump is doing absolutely nothing to stop the issue. After consistently attacking Megyn Kelly, he now has moved on to Heidi Cruz using sexist smears, which will cause further rift within the party.
Republicans should be deeply worried. Their frontrunner’s big mouth may cost them everything, and Democrats are loving every minute of it.
Featured image via Wikipedia