The presidential election of 2016 will be a pivotal moment in American politics. As it stands right now (according to most recent polls), Americans will most likely be choosing either Clinton vs. Trump, Sanders vs. Trump, Clinton vs. Carson or Sanders vs. Carson.
The stakes have never been higher for either party, and no one knows this better than the GOP.
Reince Priebus, chairman of the Republican National Committee, told the Washington Examiner that should the GOP not win the White House, their party is “cooked” for good:
I do think that we’re cooked as a party for quite a while as a party if we don’t win in 2016. So I do think that it’s going to be hard to dig out of something like that…I think that we have become, unfortunately, a midterm party that doesn’t lose and a presidential party that’s had a really hard time winning. We’re seeing more and more that if you don’t hold the White House, it’s very difficult to govern in this country, especially in Washington, D.C.
Priebus, however, doesn’t anticipate that will happen, saying history is on the Republican’ side — whatever that means.
Now either that was a Freudian slip like McCarthy’s epic gaffe on Benghazi, or Priebus really is sweating this election. Either way, Priebus has essentially admitted the voters could be fed up with the GOP’s sexist, racist, homophobic, uncaring and downright childish approach to governing.
Consider the following statistics:
- According to The American Prospect, “The rising American electorate of African Americans, Hispanics, millennials and unmarried women will constitute 54 percent of the electorate in 2016. If you also include the seculars with no religious affiliation, this rising share of the electorate will increase to 63 percent….nearly two-thirds of them intend on voting for Hillary Clinton, should she be the nominee.”
- Since 1976, when exit polls in presidential elections were more detailed and scrutinized, Republicans have not won the black vote, or the female vote except in the 1984 and 1988 elections. Similarly, Republicans have not won the Hispanic once in the last 40 years.
- Republicans have not won the “young vote” (19-24, now being called millennials in 2016), since 1988, when Bush took 53 percent to Dukakis’ 47 percent.
Since the electorate is quickly growing in favor of the demographics Democrats typically win, Priebus is right. If Republicans don’t win the White House in 2016, that spells big problems for their party.
Perhaps they should ditch their antiquated positions and change their platform to reflect the values Americans really hold dear: support for same-sex marriage, abortion rights, getting big money out of politics and no government shutdowns.
Featured image via Gage Skidmore