The conservative freak out over Trump’s devastating poll numbers continues in earnest, and at this point even a few Fox News employees are recognizing that it’s getting sad.
America is entering nearly a full straight month of polls showing Hillary Clinton is up both nationally but also has huge margins in almost every single battleground state. By Nate Silver’s latest count, Clinton has nearly a 90% chance of winning the election – and a very good chance of turning even some deep red states blue.
So to deal with that utter thrashing, Trump’s campaign has simply denied the very existence of polls. They argue Trump’s campaign rally sizes are a better indicator than the mathematics of polling – something that is both historically false and scientifically ludicrous.
Things reached somewhat of a denialism low point on Fox’s The Five this week when Eric “There were no terror attacks before Obama” Bolling went on a rant about how unfair the polls are. It was a very, very stupid rant.
Just look what’s going on. You look at a Trump rally and there’s 12, 15 thousand people – ten thousand – people and then you look at Hillary Clinton and you have 1500, 2000.
Co-host Dana Perino was forced to play the only adult in the room and as she promptly explained to Bolling that what he was saying is both laughable on its face and also a “disservice” to Trump’s supporters who may be watching and conclude that he is actually winning (he’s not).
It’s a real disservice to his supporters to lie to them that the polls don’t matter. You cannot take 12,000 people at a rally that are definite supporters who are going to show up to campaign and then say the polls are wrong.
Perino hits the nail on the head. While Trump continues to brag about his rally numbers, there is a great deal of evidence to suggest that the people who flock to those arenas are the only Trump supporters in the area. They are enthusiastic, but they are not numerous. Ten thousand people might be a lot of people to stand around and chant “lock her up” in an auditorium, but it would hardly represent a blip on the ballot box. Clinton is winning by running a smart campaign. Trump is losing by not having a campaign.
Bolling misses the point by a mile, naturally:
Here’s why polls shouldn’t ever matter: You pick up the phone and say ‘Who are you going to vote for?’ that person on the other end of the phone says ‘Well, I’m going to vote for Hillary Clinton.’ They’re not out there voting!
Except they are. In recent decades, pollsters have gotten particularly good at honing in on voting behavior and account for the very issues Bolling complains about. It’s why a guy like Nate Silver was able to call the 2012 election a day in advance with almost pinpoint precision while Mitt Romney foolishly didn’t write a concession speech. His advisers told him to ignore the polls showing him losing. He lost.
This election cycle is entering a particularly dumb and dangerous moment when one of the candidate – who has done nothing but alienate and deride a wide swath of the voting public – refuses to believe he is capable of losing. The fact that guys like Eric Bolling and Sean Hannity give credence to these delusions is a depressing development. Kudos to Dana Perino for at least attempting to be the voice of reason in a sea of stupid.
Watch Bolling’s brain cell killing rant below:
— Liam Donovan (@LPDonovan) August 18, 2016
Featured image via Fox News